Business plan template
Coffee Shop Business Plan Template
Updated · Team Fonda
Short answer
A coffee shop business plan follows ten chapters and turns on one question: will enough people walk past this door each morning, and buy often enough, to cover the rent and the staff? The outline below tells you what to write in each chapter and which numbers to calculate.
Key takeaways
- A coffee shop sells many small tickets, so the plan is built on transactions per day, not on big orders.
- Count real foot traffic at the site, by hour, before you forecast sales.
- Show how you will raise the average ticket with food, beans and bottled drinks.
- Work out how many cups a day you need to break even and check it against what one espresso machine and one team can make in the morning rush.
Who reads a coffee shop business plan and what they look for
Most coffee shop plans are written to get a lease or a loan, and sometimes both in the same month.
- Landlords often have several applicants for a good corner unit. They look for a tenant who will bring steady daytime visitors to the building, who can pay rent through the first year, and whose fit-out will be finished on time.
- Lenders and equipment finance companies pay for the espresso machine, grinders, refrigeration and build-out. They check your own cash contribution, your barista or management experience, and whether daily sales cover the repayments.
- A business partner or family backer wants to know what happens to their money if the first site works, and if it does not.
- You need to know the number of cups per day that keeps the doors open, before you fall for a beautiful space with too little passing trade.
What makes coffee different from a restaurant is the size of the sale. Each customer spends a small amount, so everything depends on volume, speed at the counter and people coming back several times a week. Readers look for proof that the location delivers that volume.
The coffee shop business plan outline, chapter by chapter
| Chapter | What to write for a coffee shop | Questions to answer |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Executive Summary | The shop in a paragraph: format (kiosk, takeaway bar, sit-down cafe, drive-through), location, opening date, funding needed and what it buys. | What is the format and why does it suit this site? How much money do you need, split between fit-out, equipment and working cash? How many transactions a day make the shop pay for itself? |
| 2. Problem & Opportunity | What is missing nearby. It could be speed for commuters, quality where there are only chains, seating for people who work remotely, or simply no coffee at all on a busy route. | Where do people on this street get coffee now, and what annoys them about it? At what time of day is the gap biggest? What have locals told you when you asked? |
| 3. Solution & Product | The drinks menu, food, retail items such as beans, and the experience: fast and standing, or slow and seated. | Who roasts your coffee and why them? Which food will you sell, and will you bake it or buy it in? What will a regular order on a normal weekday? |
| 4. Market Analysis | The catchment: offices, homes, schools, stations and gyms within a short walk, plus foot traffic counted by hour at the door. | How many people pass between opening time and mid-morning? Who are they: commuters, students, parents, shoppers? How does traffic change at weekends and in school holidays? |
| 5. Competition & Differentiation | Every coffee source within a short walk: chains, independents, bakeries, convenience stores, office machines. Note prices, queues and opening hours. | Which competitor has the longest morning queue, and why? What will make someone change a daily habit to try you? Is your difference something customers notice in the first visit? |
| 6. Business Model | Sales by part of the day (morning rush, midday, afternoon), average ticket, and extra income such as wholesale beans, catering boxes or a loyalty subscription. | How many transactions do you expect in each part of the day? How often does a regular visit per week? What share of customers add food to a drink? |
| 7. Operations & Technology | Lease terms, bar layout and workflow, equipment list, suppliers, opening hours, point-of-sale and mobile ordering, cleaning and food safety. | How many drinks can the bar make in the busiest hour with the staff you plan? What happens when the espresso machine breaks down? Which permits and inspections apply to your city? |
| 8. Team & Organization | Who owns and manages the shop, how many baristas per shift, pay, training on drink quality and speed, and who opens and closes. | Who on the team has worked a morning rush? How will you train new staff to make drinks the same way every time? Will you work behind the bar yourself, and for how many hours? |
| 9. Financial Plan | Startup costs, monthly profit and loss for the first year or more, cash flow, and break-even in cups per day. | What does it cost to open? What are your monthly fixed costs before you sell a single cup? How many months until sales cover costs, and what pays the bills until then? |
| 10. Risks & Mitigation | A chain opening nearby, a rise in coffee or milk prices, staff leaving, road works outside, and quiet seasons. | What would you do if morning traffic is half what you counted? Which costs can you cut quickly, and which are fixed by the lease? What is your plan if a key barista quits? |
This is the same 10-chapter structure Fonda uses for its business plan, which also cites its sources. You can read example plans there without an account.
The key numbers a coffee shop plan needs
Name each number in the plan and show how you got it. Use supplier quotes, your lease offer and your own traffic counts. Leave out industry averages unless you can point to where they come from.
| Number | How to calculate it | What it tells the reader |
|---|---|---|
| Transactions per day | People passing the door in each part of the day x the share you expect to come in. Add the parts of the day together. | The base of the whole sales forecast. |
| Average ticket | Total sales / number of transactions. | How much each visit is worth. Food and retail raise it. |
| Food attach rate | Transactions that include a food item / all transactions. | Whether your food offer is doing its job of lifting the ticket. |
| Cost of goods sold percentage | Cost of coffee, milk, syrups, cups, lids and food sold / sales. | What is left from each sale to pay rent and wages. What remains is your gross margin. |
| Labor cost percentage | All wages and payroll costs, including your own pay / sales. | Whether the rota fits the sales you expect. |
| Rent as a share of sales | Monthly rent and service charges / monthly sales. | Whether the site is affordable at a cautious sales level. |
| Peak-hour capacity | Drinks one bar team can make in the busiest hour, timed in a real trial. | Whether you can physically serve the morning sales in your forecast. |
| Break-even cups per day | Monthly fixed costs / (average ticket - variable cost per ticket) / trading days in the month. | The daily target that keeps the shop alive. |
The break-even calculator does the last sum for you, and the profit margin calculator shows what is left on a single drink once cup, milk and coffee are paid for.
Example chapter: Market Analysis for an imaginary coffee shop
Example only
Second Bell Coffee is an imaginary takeaway coffee bar beside a commuter rail station. The figures are invented to show how the chapter is built. They are not data about any real place.
The site. The unit is on the walking route between the station entrance and the main bus stop. The nearest coffee is a chain store four minutes away in the opposite direction from the platforms.
Foot traffic. We stood outside the unit on three weekday mornings and counted people walking past between 6:30 and 9:30. The average was 1,400 people. On a Saturday the count for the same hours was 380.
Who they are. Most weekday passers-by are commuters heading for trains before 8:30. We spoke to 25 of them. Seventeen said they buy coffee on the way to work at least twice a week, and eleven said they skip it when the queue looks long.
What we assume. If 4 in every 100 morning passers-by buy from us, that is 56 transactions between 6:30 and 9:30. We add a cautious 30 for the rest of the day, which gives 86 on a weekday. We treat this as a starting point and will recount after the first month of trading.
What it means. Speed matters more than seating at this site, so the plan is a takeaway bar with two grinders and pre-order by phone, not a cafe with tables.
The useful part of this example is the method: count, ask, state the assumption, and say what decision follows. If you have never run a customer interview, start with ten short conversations outside the site.
Mistakes that sink coffee shop business plans
- Choosing the space for how it looks. A handsome room on a quiet street loses to a plain unit on a busy one. Put your traffic counts in the plan.
- Forecasting more drinks than the bar can make. If break-even needs more cups in the rush than one machine and two people can produce, the plan fails on a stopwatch. Time it.
- Forgetting the afternoon. Many shops are busy until mid-morning and empty after lunch. Say what brings people in later, or plan shorter hours.
- Leaving your own pay out. If you work the bar full time, the plan must include a wage for you, or it hides the real labor cost.
- Buying everything new. List which equipment you can buy used or lease, and show the effect on the cash you need to open.
- Ignoring small costs per cup. Cups, lids, sleeves, oat milk and card fees add up on a small ticket. Cost a drink line by line.
For the steps around the plan, such as choosing a format and finding suppliers, see our guide on how to start a coffee shop business.
Frequently asked questions
How do I estimate sales for a coffee shop that is not open yet?
Count the people who pass the site in each part of the day, on several different days. Apply a cautious share who might buy, multiply by an average ticket built from your menu prices, and show the workings. Then compare the result with what the bar can physically serve in an hour.
Should a coffee shop plan include a drive-through or mobile ordering?
Include them only if the site and customers call for it. A commuter site may gain from pre-ordering because it shortens the queue. A neighborhood cafe where people sit for an hour may not. Say which you chose and why.
What goes in the appendix of a coffee shop business plan?
The full menu with prices and cost per item, the equipment list with quotes, a floor plan of the bar, your traffic count sheets, the lease offer or summary, and the detailed monthly financial tables.
Is a coffee cart or kiosk plan different from a cafe plan?
The ten chapters stay the same, but the numbers change. A cart has lower opening costs and little or no seating, so the plan leans on peak-hour speed, pitch fees or permits, and weather. Check local rules for trading in public spaces, because they vary by city.
Keep reading
- How to start a coffee shop business
- Break-even calculator
- Startup cost calculator
- What is a break-even point?
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- How to write a business plan for a startup
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